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Market trends and expected
developments
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| moderator: Ernesto Macias, EPIA Vice-President |
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Global Market situation and scenarios for the next 5 years
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| Winfried Hoffmann, EPIA President |
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Presentation (PDF) |
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Dr. Hoffmann (EPIA
president) outlined the industry point of view and
showed that PV market estimations for 2010 present
high differences depending on the source. However,
EPIA foresees a global annual market of around 7GW
and estimates that PV electricity will become
competitive with retail electricity prices before
2020. |
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Overview on leading and emerging PV markets
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| Mathias Fawer,
Sarasin Bank |
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Presentation (PDF) |
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The overview from the
investors’ side was given by Mr. Fawer
(Sarasin Bank) who demonstrated that the strong
decrease the PPVX has suffered at the beginning of
2008 is primarily linked to the volatility of global
Stock markets. The PV industry presents a strong
growth and therefore a positive PPVX performance is
expected at the end of 2008. |
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Trends in market segments: towards more solar parks or individual
installations?
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| Markus A.W. Hoehner, EuPD |
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Presentations (Pdf) |
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Political overview: how
is policy shaping market developments?
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| moderator:
Adel El Gammal, EPIA General Secretary |
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The successful story of Germany
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| Gerhard Stryi-Hipp, BSW |
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Presentation (PDF) |
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In Germany, market actors are apprehensively
awaiting the revision of the feed-in tariff (FiT)
digression rate (revision of the EEG) that is due to
happen in summer 2008 and which will become
effective from 2009. The current draft foresees a
decrease of over 9% of the FiT for 2009, reduced to
a 7% digression in 2010 and an 8% from 2011 on.
Germany has consolidated its position as a market
leader reaching an annual installed capacity of
1100MW in 2007. |
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The case of Spain
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| Javier Anta, ASIF |
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Presentation (PDF) |
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Spain appears to represent the perfect model of
unsustainable development, with 425MW installed last
year and a growth surpassing 300% in 2007. The
“solar” rush that Spain is experiencing is largely
coming from the uncertainty which exists today on
future legislative developments. Spain is expecting
a revision of the current decree by the end of
September 2008 that will fix the new remuneration
rates. |
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The case of France
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| Richard Loyen, ENERPLAN |
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Presentation (PDF) |
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In France, the market is developing towards building
integrated installations due to the design of the
legislation that foresees a better remuneration
(0.5719€/KWh) of this type of realizations. The
market was about 45 MWp in 2007. French
professionals estimate the market could reach 500
MWp in 2013 and 7 to 8 GW in 2020, enabling an
annual growth of about 30% in average for the next
decade. |
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The case of Italy
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| Dario Soria, Assosolare |
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Presentation (PDF) |
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Italy presented in the last year an increase of the
market of 60% in respect to 2006 with 25MW installed.
The level of FiT in Italy reaches from 0,36 €/KWh up
to 0,49 €/KWh and its structure is very similar to
the German model (the smaller the system and the
more integrated into buildings, the better
remunerated is the system). Italy expects
progressive growth in the same rages as France. |
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The case of Greece
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| Christos Protogeropoulos, Solar Cells
Hellas |
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Presentation (PDF) |
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Although Greece had a new promising FiT adopted in
2006, market takeoff is yet to materialize expected.
Requests for applications are huge, over 450 MW have
been solicited. The main problem stands in the long
administrative process. Greek experts estimate the
market to explode from 2008 onwards, with the
finalization of the approval processes of current
requests. |
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Policy developments at EU level: its impact on national
markets
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| Eleni Despotou, Policy Officer, EPIA
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Presentation (PDF) |
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Mrs. Despotou (EPIA Policy Director)
presented the first big success in 2008, at European
level: The PV sector has achieved that with the EC
proposal on the new Framework Directive on the use
of Renewable Energy Sources the feed-intariff will
not be damaged. Therefore Photovoltaics can and will
contribute to achieve the targets of the EU for 2020
(20% of GHG reduction, 20% energy efficiency, 20%
energy from Renewable sources). |
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A unique policy development outside Europe: the example
of Malaysia
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| Ahmad Hadri Haris, Pusat Tenaga Malaysia (Malaysian
Energy Centre) |
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Presentation (PDF) |
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